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The note that follows, composed in March, 2011, has been rejected by editors of three prestigious physics journals. I was
not surprised; it contains no new information, only comments on incredible results reported by an Italian inventor Andrea Rossi.
His claims, as explained below, conflict with what is expected on the basis of elementary nuclear physics. Disappointed by
rejections I decided to "self-publish" the note at my website, hoping it might be useful to some students. As a
retired physics teacher, I cannot miss an opportunity to teach.
Ludwik Kowalski (see Wikipedia)
Montclair State University, New Jersey, USA
April 12, 2011
A tabletop prototype of a new kind of nuclear device was demonstrated recently at the University of Bologna. It generated thermal energy at the rate of 12 kW. The inventor claims that the energy was produced via nuclear fusion of hydrogen and nickel. This note addresses conceptual difficulties associated with such interpretation. Experimental facts reported by the inventor seem to conflict with accepted knowledge. This, however, should not be a justification for the rejection of experimental data. Refutations and confirmations should be based on independently performed experiments.
Keywords: nuclear fusion, transmutation, thermonuclear, radioactivity, scientific method
An interesting website, describing an ongoing research project, has been created by an Italian engineer Andrea Rossi . He is the inventor of a tabletop device in which powdered nickel, mixed with common hydrogen, reported to generate thermal energy at the rate of 12 kW, for six months. A large percentage of nickel was said to be converted into copper, during that time. The device was recently demonstrated at the University of Bologna. The most obvious questions, raised by the reported features of the reactor are:
a) What lowers the coulomb barrier, between the atomic nuclei of hydrogen and nickel?
b) Is the reported accumulation of copper consistent with the well known half-lives of radioactive copper byproducts?
c) Is the measurable isotopic composition of nickel, in spent fuel, consistent with the amount of released energy?
d) The radiation level, outside the operating 12 kW reactor, was said to be comparable to that due to cosmic rays. Spent fuel, removed from the reactor, one hour after the shutdown, was found to be not radioactive . How can these purported facts be explained?
Results from earlier experiments (2008 and 2009) are described in . In one case the device was used to heat a small factory (probably two or three rooms) for one year.
2) Reported results from recent experiments
A recent demonstration of the device--January 14, 2011, at the University of Bologna--is described in [3,4,5]. Subsequent experiments--February 10, and March 29, 2011-- are described in [6,7,8]. In both cases the apparatus consisted of a cylinder containing nickel. Pure hydrogen was forced to flow through the hot nickel powder. The amount of powder was 100 grams [8, 9], or slightly more than one cubic inch, depending on the level of compression. Reactions between nickel and hydrogen turned out to be extremely exothermic, generating thermal energy at the rate of about 12.4 kW. This was 31 times higher than the rate at which electric energy was supplied, to operate the equipment .
In the February experiment the amount of thermal energy was determined from the flow rate of cooling water, and the difference between its input and output temperature. In the January experiment the water flow rate was slower; the entering water was a liquid, the escaping water was a vapor. The amount of thermal energy released was determined from the amount of liquid water (initially at 15o C) transformed into 101o C vapor. Rossi claims that most heat is produced from nuclear reactions:
where p is nothing but ionized hydrogen. This is very surprising because the temperature of hydrogen was below the melting point of nickel. Addressing this issue in  Rossi reported that about 30% of nickel was turned into copper, after six months of uninterrupted operation. A schematc diagram of the reactor, and additional details are provided by Scott Chubb .
Many physicists have studied fusion of protons with nickel nuclei. But their protons had much higher energies, such as 14.3 MeV . Rossi's protons, by contrast, had very low energies, close to 0.04 eV. The probability of nuclear fusion, expressed in terms of measurable cross sections, is known to decrease rapidly when the energy is lowered. How can 0.04 eV protons fuse with nickel, whose atomic number is 28? Rossi is convinced that this is due a catalyst added to the powdered nickel. The nature of the catalyst has not been disclosed. This prevents attempts to replicate the experiments, or to discuss the topic theoretically. Secrecy might make sense in some business situations, but it is not consistent with scientific methodology.
How can 30% of nickel in Rossi's reactor be transmuted into copper? This seems to be impossible, even if the coulomb barrier is somehow reduced to zero by his catalyst. To justify this let us focus on the 58Ni and 60 Niisotopes--they constitute 94.1% of the nickel initially loaded into the device. The reactions, by which copper is produced, from these isotopes, would be:
p + 58Ni --> 59Cu (half-life is 3.2 s) ........ (A)
p + 60Ni --> 61Cu (half life is 3.3 hrs) ..... (B)
The reported amount of accumulated copper--30% of the initial nickel being turned into copper, after six months of operation--would indeed be possible, via reactions (A) and (B), if the produced copper isotopes were stable, or had half-lives much longer than six months. But this is not the case, as shown above. The produced copper isotopes, 59Cu and 61Cu, rapidly decay into 59Ni and 61Ni. Each reaction, in other words, would lead to accumulation of these isotopes of nickel, not to accumulation of copper, as reported by Rossi. The accumulation of copper would practically stop after two half-lives.
Note that 63Cu and 65Cu, if produced from fusion of protons with 62Ni and 64N, would be stable. But natural abundance of these isotopes of nickel, 3.63% and 0.92%, respectively, is too low to be consistent with the claimed accumulation of 30% of copper.
How much of the original 58Ni should be destroyed, after six months of continuous operation, in order to generate thermal energy at the rate of 12 kW? Let us again assume that coulomb barriers are somehow reduced to zero by Rossi's secret catalyst. The 58Ni is 68 % of the total. On that basis one can assume that 68% of 12 kW is due to the radioactive decay of 59Cu, and its radioactive daughter, 59Ni. Thus P1'=0.68*12=8.16 kW. This is the thermal power. The nuclear power P1 must be larger, because neutrinos and some gamma rays do escape from the vessel. As a rough estimate, assume that the nuclear power is
P1 = 16 kW = 16,000 J/s = 1017 MeV/s
The excited 59Cu, from the reaction (A), releases 3.8 MeV of energy, as one can verify using a table of known atomic masses. In the same way one can verify that the energy released from its radioactive daughter, 59Ni, is 4.8 MeV. In other words, each transformation of 58Ni into 60Ni releases 3.8 + 4.8=8.6 MeV of nuclear energy.
The number of reactions (A) should thus be equal to 1017/8.6 = 1.16*1016 per second. Multiplying this result by the number of seconds in six months (1.55*107) one finds that the total number of destroyed 58Ni nuclei is 1.80*1023, or 17.4 grams. A similar estimate can be made for other initially present nickel isotopes. The overall conclusion is that the isotopic composition of nickel, after six months of operation, at the 12 kW level, would change drastically, if the reaction A were responsible for the heat produced in the reactor invented by Rossi.
The amount of 59Ni, for example, would increase from 0% (natural abundance) to 17.4%. The amount of 58Ni, on the other hand, would be reduced from 68% (natural abundance) to 50.6%. The isotopic composition of nickel in spent fuel was measured, according to , but results remain "privileged information."
The level of radioactivity, next to the reactor generating heat at the rate of 12 kW, was reported as not much higher than the natural background . Is this consistent with reaction (A) being responsible for most of the heat? The answer is negative. How can this be justified? In the steady state the rate at which radioactive atoms, in this case 59Cu, are decaying is the same as the rate at which they are produced. That rate, as shown in Comment 3, is 1.16*1016 atoms per second. In other words, the expected activity is
1.16*1016 / 3.7*1010 = 313,000 Curies
The emitted radiation would include gamma rays of 1.3 MeV, able to escape. The level of radiation, next to the reactor, would depend on the wall thickness. It would certainly exceed the background by many orders of magnitude. Absence of excessive gamma radiation might be an indication that the reactions producing heat were different from the p+Ni fusion.
This tentative conclusion is supported by another reported fact. Spent fuel, removed from the reactor, one hour after the ending of a prolonged steady-state operation, was not at all radioactive, according to Rossi . Absence of radiation due to 59Cu (from reaction A), one hour the reactor's shutdown, would be consistent with the short half-life of that isotope (1.3 min). But 61Cu, produced via the reaction B, has the half life of 3.3 hrs; it would still be highly radioactive, one hour after the shutdown. The non-radioactive nature of spent fuel is not consistent with the idea that excess heat is produced via the cold p+Ni fusion.
The industrial 1000 kW plant--a set of many 4 kW cells , now under construction in Greece--is expected to become operational in October 2011, according to Rossi. The cost of electricity from such plants, if widely used, is expected to be ten times lower than from our coal plants. Another desirable feature of the claimed reactor is that it doesn't produce radioactive waste . Note that the reported fuel power density of 120 W/g, would be at least ten times higher than in a fuel element of a nuclear reactor based on 235U. What can be more desirable than higher safety and lower cost? Did Rossi really invent a new kind of nuclear reactor? Logical speculations, such as above, are not sufficient to answer this question. Only independently performed experiments can do this.
Rossi's claims, if confirmed, would present a challenge to theoretical physicists. Physics, unlike mathematics, is based on confirmed experimental facts, not on axioms. Newly discovered facts often lead to improvements of accepted theories. Let's hope that Rossi's incredible results can be independently confirmed in the near future.
1) A. Rossi, http://www.journal-of-nuclear-physics.com
2) A. Rossi, Journal of Nuclear Physics http://www.journal-of-nuclear-physics.com/?p=62
3) F. Celani, New Energy Times, http://newenergytimes.com/v2/news/2011/36/3623rf-celani.shtml
4) H. Mills, http://pesn.com/2011/03/07/9501782_Cold_Fusion_Steams_Ahead_at_Worlds_Oldest_University/
5) M. Macy, http://pesn.com/2011/01/19/9501747_cold-fusion-journals_warming_to_Rossi_breakthrough/
6) M. Lewan, http://www.nyteknik.se/nyheter/energi_miljo/energi/article3108242.ece
7) J. Rothwell, http://www.lenr-canr.org/News.htm
8) M. Levan, http://www.nyteknik.se/nyheter/energi_miljo/energi/article3144827.ece
9) A. Rossi, http://www.journal-of-nuclear-physics.com/?p=338#more-338
10) A. Rossi, http://www.journal-of-nuclear-physics.com/?p=62&cpage=2
11) S. Chubb. INFINITE ENERGY o ISSUE 96 o MARCH/APRIL 2011
12) J. Miller et al., Phys. Rev. 163, 1074 11 (1967).
13) Wikipedia article at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rossi_Reactor
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